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May 2021 Outlook: Muted Market Action Anticipated Over Worst Six Months

May 2021 Outlook: Muted Market Action Anticipated Over Worst Six Months

by Chris Mistal | May 5, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Seasonality remains back to normal and it appears from all our observations that it will continue to track historical patterns for the remainder of the year. April’s solid returns across the board led by S&P 500 (up 5.2%) and NASDAQ (up 5.4%) and new highs for...
April 2021 Outlook: Late-March Weakness Sets Up End of Best Six Months Rally

April 2021 Outlook: Late-March Weakness Sets Up End of Best Six Months Rally

by Chris Mistal | Mar 31, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

The last month of our “Best Six Months” is now upon us. So it’s the perfect time to provide a refresher for longtime readers and primer for those that have recently joined us. We do not simply “Sell in May and go away.” We employ a more nuanced and subtle approach to...
March 2021 Outlook: Frothy Market Succumbs & Looks for Support In March

March 2021 Outlook: Frothy Market Succumbs & Looks for Support In March

by Chris Mistal | Mar 4, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Unfortunately the February weakness we warned about last issue began to materialize mid-month and accelerated into month-end. The “excuse du jour” is rising bond yields as the 10-Year Treasury climbed above 1.5%. The reaction to the 10-Year yield moving above 1.5%...
February 2021 Outlook: Robinhood Thwarts January Indicator Trifecta, Watch Out For February Weakness

February 2021 Outlook: Robinhood Thwarts January Indicator Trifecta, Watch Out For February Weakness

by Chris Mistal | Feb 8, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

It’s been a dynamic six weeks since we made our Annual Forecast for 2021 and volatility spiked the last week of January as the merry Gen Z traders made on run on the shorts of the old guard on Wall Street. Robinhood Markets and other trading apps and services and...
January 2021 Outlook: Yearend Rally Continues, Seasonal Patterns Endure and 2021 Looks Like A Good Year

January 2021 Outlook: Yearend Rally Continues, Seasonal Patterns Endure and 2021 Looks Like A Good Year

by Chris Mistal | Dec 28, 2020 | Monthly Outlook

Global pandemic was certainly not in our forecast last year and neither was the economic shutdown that came with it. Covid-19 has dramatically changed the world, the economy and the market forever. Some industries are still struggling, while others have adapted and...
December 2020 Outlook: Yearend Rally Powers Ahead

December 2020 Outlook: Yearend Rally Powers Ahead

by Chris Mistal | Dec 4, 2020 | Monthly Outlook

Stocks have been on the rise since the late-October lows in prototypical market seasonality fashion, though NASDAQ has lagged a bit. Honestly, NASDAQ tech stocks deserve a break, they have carried the market for months now as they have driven and supported the...
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