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November 2021 Outlook: Best Months & Yearend Rally Begins

November 2021 Outlook: Best Months & Yearend Rally Begins

by Chris Mistal | Nov 3, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

It looks as though the market has resisted Octoberphobia and averted the feared crashes or massacres that have given the month its bad reputation. More significantly for us though is the continuation of the return to normal seasonal patterns we began to see last month...
October 2021 Outlook: Market Likely Wards Off October’s Curse?

October 2021 Outlook: Market Likely Wards Off October’s Curse?

by Chris Mistal | Sep 30, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Well. Seasonality is back. Everyone in the financial media has been talking about September seasonal weakness lately. And here we are in September and the market has sold off around the 5% or so we projected last month. And it did so in the notoriously treacherous...
September 2021 Outlook: End of Q3 Has Been Challenging

September 2021 Outlook: End of Q3 Has Been Challenging

by Chris Mistal | Aug 31, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Aloha friends. We’ve seen a lot these past two weeks in Hawaii from snorkeling with sea turtles and swimming in waterfalls on Maui to the southernmost point in the U.S. and Kilauea Caldera on the Big Island, then to surfing Hanalei Bay and hiking the Na Pali Coast in...
August 2021 Outlook: Rally Primed To Pause in Worst Months

August 2021 Outlook: Rally Primed To Pause in Worst Months

by Chris Mistal | Aug 3, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Our outlook for the full year remains clearly bullish, more in line with the best cast scenario of our Annual Forecast in the January 2021 issue. S&P 500 is already up about 17% so far this year at the end of July. Our updated outlook is for S&P 500 to finish...
July 2021 Outlook: Midyear Rally Yields To Doldrums Mid-July

July 2021 Outlook: Midyear Rally Yields To Doldrums Mid-July

by Chris Mistal | Jun 29, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

The rotation back into tech and growth stocks has picked up momentum on the prospects that recent rampant inflation fears are a bit overblown. The retreat in Treasury bond yields and the more tranquil bond market suggests the spike in prices is more transitory than...
June 2021 Outlook: NASDAQ Best 8 Months Ends – Sideways Summer Trading

June 2021 Outlook: NASDAQ Best 8 Months Ends – Sideways Summer Trading

by Chris Mistal | Jun 3, 2021 | Monthly Outlook

Stocks have gone virtually nowhere since Stock Trader’s Almanac April 22 Best Six Months MACD Seasonal Sell Signal. Trading volume has already begun to slowdown as it tends to do from Memorial Day to Labor Day in what we refer to as the summer doldrums. This...
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