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Almanac Update June 2021: Second Worst DJIA Month in Post-Election Years

Almanac Update June 2021: Second Worst DJIA Month in Post-Election Years

by Chris Mistal | Jun 3, 2021 | Almanac Update

June has shone brighter on NASDAQ stocks over the last 50 years as a rule ranking sixth with a 0.9% average gain, up 28 of 50 years. This contributes to NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” which ends in June. June ranks near the bottom on the Dow Jones Industrials just above...
Almanac Update May 2021: Stronger in Post-Election Years

Almanac Update May 2021: Stronger in Post-Election Years

by Chris Mistal | May 5, 2021 | Almanac Update

May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” Our “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986, proves that there is merit to this old trader’s tale. A hypothetical $10,000 investment...
Almanac Update April 2021: Top DJIA Month – Up 15 in a Row

Almanac Update April 2021: Top DJIA Month – Up 15 in a Row

by Chris Mistal | Mar 31, 2021 | Almanac Update

April marks the end of the “Best Six Months” for DJIA and the S&P 500. The window for our seasonal MACD sell signal opens on April 1st. From our Seasonal MACD Buy Signal on November 5, 2020 through the close on March 25, 2021, DJIA was up 14.9% and S&P 500 had...
Almanac Update March 2021: Softer in Post-Election Years

Almanac Update March 2021: Softer in Post-Election Years

by Chris Mistal | Mar 4, 2021 | Almanac Update

Tempestuous March markets tend to drive prices up early in the month and batter stocks at month end. Julius Caesar failed to heed the famous warning to “beware the Ides of March” but investors have been served well when they have. Stock prices have a propensity to...
Almanac Update February 2021: Historically Weak in Post-Election Years

Almanac Update February 2021: Historically Weak in Post-Election Years

by Chris Mistal | Feb 8, 2021 | Almanac Update

Even though February is right in the middle of the Best Six Months, its long-term track record, since 1950, is rather tepid. February ranks no better than sixth and has posted meager average gains except for the Russell 2000. Small cap stocks, benefiting from “January...
Almanac Update January 2021: An Indicator Trifecta Historically Bullish

Almanac Update January 2021: An Indicator Trifecta Historically Bullish

by Chris Mistal | Dec 28, 2020 | Almanac Update

January has quite a reputation on Wall Street as an influx of cash from yearend bonuses and annual allocations has historically propelled stocks higher. January ranks #1 for NASDAQ (since 1971), but fifth on the S&P 500 and sixth for DJIA since 1950. January is...
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