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Almanac Update June 2020: End of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months”

Almanac Update June 2020: End of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months”

by Chris Mistal | Jun 3, 2020 | Almanac Update

June has shone brighter on NASDAQ stocks over the last 49 years as a rule ranking seventh with a 0.8% average gain, up 27 of 49 years. This contributes to NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” which ends in June. June ranks near the bottom on the Dow Jones Industrials just...
Almanac Update May 2020: Weaker in Election Years

Almanac Update May 2020: Weaker in Election Years

by Chris Mistal | May 7, 2020 | Almanac Update

May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” Our “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986, proves that there is merit to this old trader’s tale. A hypothetical $10,000 investment...
Almanac Update April 2020: Can Top Month Curtail Market Rout?

Almanac Update April 2020: Can Top Month Curtail Market Rout?

by Chris Mistal | Apr 2, 2020 | Almanac Update

The first trading day of April and the second quarter, has enjoyed notable strength over the past 25 years, advancing 18 times with an average gain of 0.40% in all 25 years for S&P 500. However, four of the seven declines have occurred in the last seven years....
Almanac Update March 2020: Beware the Ides & Month-End Weakness

Almanac Update March 2020: Beware the Ides & Month-End Weakness

by Chris Mistal | Mar 2, 2020 | Almanac Update

Boisterous March markets tend to drive prices up early in the month and batter stocks at month end. Julius Caesar failed to heed the famous warning to “beware the Ides of March” but investors have been served well when they have. Stock prices have a propensity to...
Almanac Update February 2020: Can be Challenging in Election Years

Almanac Update February 2020: Can be Challenging in Election Years

by Chris Mistal | Feb 5, 2020 | Almanac Update

Even though February is right in the middle of the Best Six Months, its long-term track record, since 1950, is rather tepid. February ranks no better than eighth and has posted meager average gains. Small cap stocks, benefiting from “January Effect” carry over; tend...
Almanac Update January 2020: Not as Strong in Election Years

Almanac Update January 2020: Not as Strong in Election Years

by Chris Mistal | Jan 3, 2020 | Almanac Update

January has quite a reputation on Wall Street as an influx of cash from yearend bonuses and annual allocations typically propels stocks higher. January ranks #1 for NASDAQ (since 1971), but fifth on the S&P 500 and sixth for DJIA since 1950. It is the end of the...
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